Why haven’t cases started rising again in the U.S.? By David Leonhardt To many people’s surprise — including mine — new Covid-19 cases in the U.S. have not begun to rise. Over the past two weeks, they have held roughly steady, falling about 1 percent, even...
Omicron Is in Retreat
What’s next? By David Leonhardt The latest Omicron developments continue to be encouraging. New Covid-19 cases are plummeting in a growing list of places. The percentage of cases causing severe illness is much lower than it was with the Delta variant. And vaccines —...
How Does This End?
Thinking about Covid and normalcy. By David Leonhardt ~ photo above: Dr. Robert M. Wachter. Credit...Stephen Lam/San Francisco Chronicle Among the Covid experts I regularly talk with, Dr. Robert Wachter is one of the more cautious. He worries about “long Covid,” and...
U.S. Covid Deaths Get Even Redder
The partisan gap in Covid’s death toll has grown faster over the past month than at any previous point. By David Leonhardt As 2020 wound down, there were good reasons to believe that the death toll during the pandemic’s first year might have been worse in red America....
Covid, in Retreat
New cases in the U.S. have fallen by more than a third in the past month. By David Leonhardt That Two Month Cycle Covid-19 is once again in retreat. The reasons remain somewhat unclear, and there is no guarantee that the decline in caseloads will continue. But the...
One in 5,000
The real chances of a breakthrough infection. By David Leonhardt The C.D.C. reported a terrifying fact in July: Vaccinated people with the Delta variant of the Covid virus carried roughly the same viral load in their noses and throats as unvaccinated people....
More Covid Mysteries
There’s much to learn about how the virus spreads. By David Leonhardt Consider these Covid-19 mysteries: In India — where the Delta variant was first identified and caused a huge outbreak — cases have plunged over the past two months. A similar drop may now...